This article develops on the analysis regarding capital goods and investment. It tries to add insights to the simple forecasting model of US gross domestic investment by two variables: durable goods and non-defense capital goods excluding aircraft. The puzzling moment with this model is its relatively poor forecast quality in the last couple of quarters. More specifically, the investment growth was substantially overshooting its predicted values.
There are several tips of how claims, payroll, and unemployment data are used in real-life analysis and forecasting.
My two previous pieces on claims, payroll, and unemployment were dealing with introductory matters like defining the indicators (here) and exploring their popularity (here).
Precious metals are considered a good way to diversify your investment portfolio and to hedge against inflation. The most popular precious metals for investment are gold, silver, and platinum, but there are also other rare platinum group metals such as palladium, rhodium, iridium, ruthenium, and osmium. All of them have unique features and investment characteristics.
The key stage in the formation of an investment portfolio is the choice of a portfolio strategy. Portfolio strategies are usually divided into passive and active. Let's consider the main substrategies of these major two ones. It is generally accepted that the passive strategy is followed by investors who believe that the market is efficient.
When forming a portfolio, an investor should determine in what proportions to include assets of various classes, for example, stocks of large companies, stocks of small companies, short-term bonds, long-term bonds, foreign stocks, foreign bonds, etc.
Credit ratings are a clear reflection of the creditworthiness of corporate or government obligations, such as bonds. Credit ratings are published by credit rating agencies and are used by professional investors to assess the likelihood of meeting obligations, namely the repayment of debt.